Research & guides

How to test a trading strategy without fooling yourself.

Guides to forex backtesting, walk-forward validation and the specific ways a backtest flatters you — plus findings from our own archive, including a volume filter we tested, could have sold, and did not ship because it did not work.

Method

The checks that separate a real edge from a curve fit.

Walk-Forward Optimization in Forex: The Only Test That Survives Contact

What walk-forward optimization is, how to choose window sizes, and why an in-sample-only backtest tells you almost nothing about how a strategy will behave next month.

10 min

Overfitting in Forex: How Beautiful Backtests Get Manufactured

How curve-fitting produces spectacular backtests that fail live, the specific signs that reveal it, and why the number of variants you tested belongs in the verdict.

10 min

Is My Trading Edge Real, or Am I Just Lucky?

How to tell whether a run of profitable trades reflects a genuine edge or ordinary variance, how many trades it takes to know, and why most track records are far too short to say.

10 min

Spread and Slippage: The Costs That Decide Whether an Edge Exists

Why realistic cost modelling flips more backtest verdicts than any other factor, how to set spread and slippage assumptions, and what a zero-cost backtest is really telling you.

9 min

The Backtest Metrics That Lie to You

Why win rate, profit factor and Sharpe ratio routinely mislead when read without sample size and context — and the small set of numbers actually worth reading first.

10 min

How Much Historical Data Do You Need to Backtest Forex?

How much price history a forex backtest actually requires, why bar count matters more than calendar years, and the data-depth traps that silently shorten your test window.

9 min

Position Sizing Changes Your Backtest More Than Your Entry Does

Why position sizing dominates backtest outcomes, the difference between fixed-lot and risk-based sizing, and how sizing choices quietly rewrite the result of an unchanged strategy.

9 min

Backtesting for a Prop Firm Challenge: Testing the Rules, Not Just the Edge

Why passing a prop firm evaluation is a different problem from having a profitable strategy, and how to test against daily loss limits, trailing drawdown and consistency rules.

9 min

Head-to-head comparisons

Seven full comparisons, each checked against the other product's own published documentation, and each with a section naming the cases where they are the better tool.

Reading about backtesting is not backtesting.

Describe a strategy in a sentence, or paste your own code, and get the out-of-sample verdict on ten years of minute data. Five full backtests free, no card.